Shortage of Insulin to Affect Half of Type 2 Diabetics by 2030

Kenny Tucker
November 25, 2018

However, as per the study, around 33 million people with type 2 diabetes do not have access to insulin, and by 2030, the number will touch 41 million.

Insulin is needed to treat all people with type 1 diabetes and some people with type 2 diabetes.

The one-year health outcomes from our Low Carb Program were published earlier this year which showed that reduced dependency on medications, including insulin, were among the programme's benefits.

The study also predicts that using a higher glucose target of 8% in the over 75s could halve insulin use and prevent more disability by cutting severe hypoglycaemic events (more common among older adults) by 44%, with only a 20% increase in diabetes-related harms from eye, kidney, and nerve complications (figure 2).

In order to estimate the prevalence of people requiring insulin by 2030 if access to insulin did not improve, the researchers multiplied the absolute number of individuals projected to receive type 2 diabetes diagnoses and be treated with insulin each year during this 12-year period based upon current estimates in each country. The most prevalent type is type 2 diabetes, which usually affects adults but is more often seen now in younger individuals as well. In 2017, diabetes patients sued those companies for driving up insulin prices.

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As the number of people with diabetes soars, the growing demand for insulin will result in a shortfall for the drug, CNN has reported, citing findings from a new study.

The likely rise in the number of adults from 40.6 crore in 2018 to 50.11 crore in 2030, with highest number of adults with type 2 diabetes from China with 13 crore, India with 9.8 crore and the U.S. with 3.2 crore. Out of 511 million predicted to have the disease by 2030, 79 million will likely be in need of insulin to manage their diabetes. Also, the expensive treatment is dominated by three manufacturers.

Not all diabetics are, however, in need of insulin.

Though few lifestyle changes, changing the diet and some natural foods aid to lower blood sugar level, the need for insulin have not come down but rather the need increasing more than the production. "The number of adults with type-2 diabetes is expected to rise over the next 12 years due to aging, urbanization, and associated changes in diet and physical activity".

The study's lead author, Stanford University's Dr. Sanjay Basu, described the situation as a "looming health challenge". "Unless governments begin initiatives to make insulin available and affordable, then its use is always going to be far from optimal", he said. In the United States in particular, the cost of insulin has soared over the past decade, almost tripling in cost from 2002-2013.

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