National Hurricane Center monitoring two tropical disturbances

Pat Wise
July 8, 2018

In less than a day, Tropical Storm Beryl was upgraded to the first hurricane of the 2018 Atlantic hurricane season and another system brewing near the Carolinas has a high chance of tropical development.

However, forecasters also expect the system to weaken by the end of the weekend when it reaches east of the Lesser Antilles, according to National Hurricane Center.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 miles per hour (55 km/h) with higher gusts.

Some strengthening is possible, and the depression could become Tropical Storm Beryl later Thursday or on Friday.

Even if the system degenerates into a tropical wave, as forecast, an uptick in shower activity, including some locally heavy rain, and gusty winds are expected in the Lesser Antilles Sunday into Monday. Satellite data helped convince forecasters that the storm had met tropical cyclone criteria. Beryl is not expected to survive crossing the Lesser Antilles island chain.

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The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches). A west-northwestward motion with an additional increase in forward speed is expected during the next few days.

The average hurricane season hurricane season sees 12 named storms and six hurricanes and Colorado State predicted an above-averge season with 14 named storms and seven hurricanes in April. The Category 1 storm is expected to achieve wind speeds of 100 miles per hour, reaching Category 2 status, over the next day before gradually weakening to tropical storm force. Tropical Storm Alberto was the season's first, which developed in late May.

The system may move slowly up the coast, or, depending on the strength of a cold front crossing the state Friday night and Saturday, could stall and strengthen off the southeast North Carolina coast.

The official forecast track from the National Hurricane Center takes Beryl to the eastern Caribbean Sea over the weekend.

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